Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.331224 0.435459 0.549486 0.681609 0.828795 0.986258 1.166064
2025-08-31 0.172047 0.301009 0.460449 0.662252 0.902936 1.174429 1.498125
2025-09-07 0.105413 0.239710 0.423164 0.669965 0.976915 1.333645 1.768757
2025-09-14 0.057857 0.185904 0.382287 0.663061 1.025871 1.458452 1.996039
2025-09-21 0.026278 0.139709 0.340093 0.645148 1.053811 1.552334 2.181918
2025-09-28 0.015356 0.126152 0.342545 0.684828 1.152863 1.730981 2.467349
2025-10-05 0.009155 0.118904 0.352865 0.734152 1.263536 1.923378 2.768982
2025-10-12 0.004181 0.108614 0.355594 0.771069 1.356967 2.093871 3.043915
2025-10-19 0.002264 0.107500 0.373901 0.830589 1.480404 2.301885 3.364535
2025-10-26 0.000648 0.101840 0.382423 0.874733 1.582786 2.483308 3.652796
2025-11-02 NaN 0.086436 0.369070 0.883829 1.636533 2.602632 3.864703
2025-11-09 NaN 0.057892 0.320681 0.833831 1.606191 2.612963 3.941117
2025-11-16 NaN 0.032881 0.269621 0.776217 1.565397 2.612383 4.008727
2025-11-23 NaN 0.020290 0.242825 0.756076 1.576260 2.678112 4.158829
2025-11-30 NaN 0.014371 0.233011 0.764182 1.627059 2.795415 4.372882
2025-12-07 NaN 0.008205 0.215844 0.756825 1.653957 2.880458 4.545858
2025-12-14 NaN 0.003210 0.193887 0.737600 1.661524 2.938709 4.684105
2025-12-21 NaN 0.002989 0.203225 0.780142 1.763089 3.123472 4.983830
2025-12-28 NaN 0.003320 0.217570 0.832911 1.880479 3.329775 5.311316
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002943 0.225314 0.872336 1.977479 3.508670 5.603947
2026-01-11 NaN 0.003817 0.244835 0.935783 2.111511 3.737773 5.960999
2026-01-18 NaN 0.003810 0.256213 0.982753 2.220333 3.932942 6.274837
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002098 0.249382 0.992422 2.271730 4.050481 6.489428